Sunday 15 February 2015

My take Delhi 2015 debacle

Delhi Debacle

Well well all of us were shocked by Delhi elections results. Some might still have hangover of this humiliating defeat. BJP central government has been doing good on most of the fronts and this verdict was shocking. We got all 7 LS seats and were leading in 60 constituencies of Delhi and now we got just 3 seats. Could BJP have reversed the result maybe yes maybe not but there is nothing we can do about the results now. No one will listen to our argument "BJP got 32.1% all that matters is how many seats BJP got". All we can do now is introspection and revamp our strategy to prevent such  shocks in future.

What was the need to hold elections?
BJP+ had 32 seats in Delhi 2013 Assembly elections. We should have formed minority government. Alas! We tried to be generous, great in front of Delhi junta and gave AAP chance to firm government. One can understand BJPs greatness act before 2014 General Elections. But not forming government after winning Delhi was foolishness let's accept this. Two rebel AAP MLA Vinod Kumar Binny and MS Dhir had already distanced themselves from AAP and later joined BJP. Splitting AAP would not have been ethical Fiberals would have criticized us but Delhi could have been saved from anarchy. As time passed by AAP would have lost its political relevance. Public have small memory. T hey would have seen AAP as a failed experiment and stuck with traditional parties. If Delhi junta can forget 49days wala bhagoda in less than a year give him a second chance  they would've certainly forgotten BJPs unethical move to grab power by 2018. BJP gave much needed air for AAP to live no wonder it has smacked BJP as soon as it got the opportunity.

Election Timing

Many will blame BJPs defeat on bad election timings. They think if elections were conducted earlier BJP would've won. AAP has been reaching out to their target voters since May. They had enough time to apologize for running away in 49 days and make never ending promises. Some say Delhi elections should have been conducted along with other state elections. In my opinion conducting parallel elections would boomeranged as BJP had uphill task in states like Maharashtra, Haryana, Jharkhand. BJP did perform well in Lok sabha in these states but BJP did not have good base in these states. This might have costed them heavily. So in  a way holding elections separately was right. Perhaps we can blame BJP Delhi unit which was not prepared for the elections. As I've already said AAP had been campaigning since may last year. Obviously BJP leadership must have known this but they did not take it seriously. Not to mention BJP Delhi unit is one of the worst run BJP state units. They were hoping Modi wave and smart electoral strategy of Maestro Amit Shah will somehow make them win. BJP is in the center, they have every resource, right from scheduling elections to strong booth level management.

Kiran Bedi as CM
I don't buy naive arguments like BJP defeated itself by importing leaders from other parties. BJP did the same in Lok Sabha, Maharashtra, Haryana, Jharkhand and won. Although I agree making a inexperienced Kiran Bedi Delhi CM candidate was wrong.In my opinion Kiran Bedi lost upper hand the day she openly supported Modi and asked people to vote for BJP. The surprise element was gone. Kejru who used to say "We will give Bedi CM post if she joins AAP" started saying she is a BJP agent. BJP kept on saying in LS we can't give country to inexperienced leaders. Well Well we did exactly the same in Delhi let's say we took a Kejru turn . Out of nowhere we made Bedi CM candidate..Imagine BJP grass root leaders who toiled for decades, who were there with the party in hard times getting ignored for a first timer who has zero experience and who basically joined politics to become CM of Delhi. All know Kiran Bedi is honest and must have become one of the best CM of Delhi if given a chance but that's a different matter altogether, As soon as Bedi came in she tried to take control over the party. Remember news where Dr Harshvardhan could not attend the meeting for some reason. KB tried to sideline old guards of the party when she actually needed their support..This led to resent in the party. I remember scene on NDTV(i don't see it usually) where one BJP worker said he didn't even know when he was made Panna Pramukh. Another cadre added BJP workers were not even called to campaign for their party. This was the condition in BJPs safest constituency Krishna Nagar. This tells us how workers were sidelined by the top leadership.

BJP going slow on issues that matter public.
Many may say BJP is taking no action against Gandhi's, black money issue.
For the First time in 3 decades Gandhi's were summoned by court on National Herald Scam!
BJP did take back some land from Robert Vadra in Rajasthan, Haryana but that is not enough. BJP has to do more and prosecute corrupt Congress Chors, Media thugs. This may sound another non sense theory but i think a big cabinet minister is protecting these thugs and you know who i am pointing at. I'm not saying arrest all the corrupts at once but at least send some lite weights behind the bars and send feelers to public that BJP is taking some action against the corrupts. Why Cant the BJP govt arrest smaller thugs like Baisakhi chor Salman Khurshid, Pawan Kumar Bansal, Kalmadi, Rajiv Shukla NDTV etc.  For bigger thugs like Vadra, Gandhi's start a inquiry and show junta constant progress.
BJP govt did set up an SIT on black money issue. 3,500 crore Rs has already been recovered by the govt but BJP did not utter a single word on this in the elections 
Going slow on corruption cases and black money has created bad impression that govt is not serious on these important issue.

Role of media
.
We believe what we see and read that's how our perception is made. Media creates this perception. Let me tell you BJP has lost perception battle in social media and traditional media hands down.
You ask an average voter his view on Kejru he will say
Good guy, drama karta he par banda sahi he, nautanki he par imandar he, acha banda he isliye Ambani  adani ne isse hara diya, Kejru ayega to corruption nahi hoga, Kejru 49 days me sab theek tha etc etc... Media has created this perception about Kejru. Let's not forget how media shamelessly rooteed for AAP in last few weeks of Delhi elections.
I like every BJP supporter feel BJP is deliberately targeted by traditional media. Now you might want to know where  BJP failed in Media strategy. BJP did not instill fear in Media. That's how you tame them! There are many cases against news channels like NDTV,Times Now, Editors of famous news channels. All BJP had to do was file few cases send a clear message to these thugs!
Even if BJP doesn't want to prosecute these thugs for being called generous, Great, at least they could have setup inquiries and put the facts and figures in public domain! Let people decide whose right or wrong!!
For example we see repeated news of love jihad, ghar vapasi, Hindu leader advising Hindus for having 4 children.

Q)
      Are Hindu organization only one who do conversions?
Ans)  HELL NO!!!  Muslims and Christians convert thousands of Hindus every *day* and this news doesn't get reported.
Q)     Only Hindu leaders ask Hindus for 4 kids?
Ans)  Pope has repeatedly asked Christians for having 4 kids! Kerala Christian padery give financial assistance to xtians having many babies. Many prominent Mullahs have also openly advocated M should have many babies.

Q)
      Are Hindu outfits only talking about dangers of love jihad?
Ans)   If we go by reports from Kerala, 28000 odd girls have been forced to convert. Situation is alarming in other states too. Not just BJP some Kerala Christian priests have also spoken on love jihad menace. It's not a small issue for you if your community is not on the receiving end. And Media has been repeatedly planting stories where Hindus are shown in bad light. BJP is not responsible for actions of some Hindu outfits! Ghar vapasi was done during Congress  regime also but all were silent.
Media successfully down played every good work done by PM Modi. They have created a perception Modi in pro rich doing nothing for common man. Recollect how media reported high prices of groceries which is utterly false, Inflation is down. For first time in 10 years our jawans are giving fitting response to Pakistanis. No one talks about positive current account surplus, growing economy, Multi billion $$ trade agreements Modi signed with other countries, nuclear bill. No positive talks about Modi only negative news and holding Modi responsible for random acts of some unknown Hindu outfits whose names Modi might not have even known before.Their hatred for Modi and Hindus are out in open.


Local issues

We can't sell good  governance message and same time do corruption in MCD.This backfired on BJP.
BJP had 9 months when law and administration were in its control. If they had done well people would have voted BJP.
BJP hoped to get Jat, Gujjar votes in outer Delhi like it got last time around. Last time Jats voted Modi as they were angry at because government was not being neutral to them in Muzzafarnagar riots. What has BJP done for Jats who are kept behind the bars even now? How can we expect them to vote when we dont punish perpetrators of Muzzafarnagar Riots.
Poorvanchalis voted BJP heavily during last elections how many seats did we give them this time around? Add to that freebies promised by AAP did pull them towards their side.
I came across C Rajagopalachari's interesting point. He said BJP central govt had introduced Bio-metric attendance system in government offices and lazy central government employees who are used to lazy culture had to maintain time. This did make them vote against BJP.
LAB did hurt BJP in rural areas of Delhi.   
No one knows that why was Dr Harshvardhan has been sidelined by the central leadership. He got us 31 seats last time. As soon as Modi removed him from Health ministry my hunch was he will be made Delhi CM candidate. It never happened.
BJPs manifesto dint make much appeal to people of Delhi. I remember how effectively Nitin Gadkari  made manifesto in 2013 elections.  not to forget AAP blatantly copied some parts of BJPs manifesto.


This Delhi elections has certainly change future of India tremendously, for good or for bad only time will tell.